Atlanta Falcons face-off against struggling Cardinals: Can they finally deliver as favorites?

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Atlanta Falcons aim to capitalize against struggling Cardinals

The Atlanta Falcons delivered a thrilling upset last week, rallying from a 14-point deficit to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29-28. This week, however, the stakes are considerably lower as Atlanta heads to Glendale to face the Arizona Cardinals, with both teams already eliminated from playoff contention.

Cardinals’ Recent Struggles

The Cardinals have endured a tumultuous season, suffering through a dismal stretch where they have lost 11 of their last 12 games after a promising 2-0 start. Their current six-game losing streak has come against formidable opponents, including the Seattle Seahawks (12-3), Los Angeles Rams (11-4), Houston Texans (winners of six straight), as well as the Buccaneers, Jaguars (10-4), and 49ers (10-4).

This rough schedule has taken its toll, as Arizona has not been competitive in many of these matchups. They managed close losses to Tampa Bay and Jacksonville, but four of the defeats came by an alarming average of 22.25 points.

Falcons’ Outlook and Predictions

For the 5-9 Falcons, the matchup against the Cardinals appears to provide a much-needed reprieve from their recent challenges. ESPN’s panel of writers is divided in their predictions for this encounter, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding Atlanta’s performance as favorites.

Pamela Maldonado: Cardinals 28, Falcons 24
Eric Moody: Falcons 27, Cardinals 21
Seth Walder: Falcons 23, Cardinals 22

The Football Power Index gives Arizona a slight edge with a 53.2% win probability, calculated by an average margin of just 1.4 points.

Despite being 2-2 in their last four games, the Falcons have not faced the toughest competition. Their victories came against the struggling Saints (4-10) and the Buccaneers, who have been mired in a 2-6 slump over their last eight games.

Quarterback Changes and Key Players

Both teams are navigating quarterback changes this season. For Arizona, veteran Jacoby Brissett has stepped in with a reliable performance, showcasing his abilities as a steady presence. As noted by analysts, Brissett has consistently finished as a top-12 fantasy quarterback, averaging 42.7 pass attempts and 21.1 fantasy points across nine starts. The Cardinals’ defense, which ranks among the league’s worst in total yards and points allowed, has only enhanced Brissett’s effectiveness.

On the other hand, the Falcons boast a strong pass defense, currently ranked eighth in the league by allowing only 195.6 yards per game. Yet, they have shown vulnerability, sitting at 21st in touchdowns allowed, with 23 given up throughout the season.

Falcons’ Frustrating Record as Favorites

One of the most perplexing aspects of Atlanta’s season has been their inability to capitalize on favorable matchups. Despite being favored by three points against the Cardinals, the Falcons hold a dismal 1-6 record in such situations, underscoring their struggles against teams they should beat.

The potential return of Drake London could provide a much-needed boost for quarterback Kirk Cousins, who is vying for a starting role in the upcoming season. Additionally, running back Bijan Robinson tops the NFL in scrimmage yards, indicating he could have a significant impact against a Cardinals defense that has surrendered the sixth-most sacks in the league.

Final Thoughts

Predicting a win for the Falcons when favored has proven tricky, but many believe they could find success against a struggling Arizona franchise that seemingly has its sights set on the draft. The anticipated scoreline suggests a comfortable win for Atlanta, with a prediction of Falcons 27, Cardinals 16.

Kickoff is slated for 4:05 p.m. EST in Glendale, Arizona, and the game will be broadcasted locally on FOX. As always, betting odds are subject to change, and those grappling with gambling issues are encouraged to seek help.

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