Rockets’ Offensive Efficiency Raises Trade Speculation for Point Guard Upgrade
The Houston Rockets have displayed impressive offensive prowess this season, boasting eye-catching statistics that put them near the top of the league. Currently, they sit second in offensive rating, fifth in scoring, and third in three-point shooting. However, a deeper dive into the numbers reveals a more complex picture. The Rockets are also among the bottom ten teams in turnovers and passes per game, suggesting that their offensive efficiency may be somewhat misleading.
Unpacking the Numbers
When analyzing the Rockets’ performance, it becomes clear that their offensive success is not solely a product of skillful execution. Much of their scoring relies on second-chance points and offensive rebounds—a testament to players like Steven Adams, who can dominate the boards. Yet, the style of play often resembles “hero ball,” where individual players take over possessions, reminiscent of Kevin Durant’s last-second bailout shots.
This approach raises concerns about the sustainability of their offensive strategy. The team would benefit from a traditional point guard to facilitate ball movement and help set up plays. Currently, Amen Thompson has been tasked with this role, but it pulls him away from his strengths—cutting and slashing toward the basket. Meanwhile, Reed Sheppard shows promise as an on-ball creator but has largely been positioned in an off-ball role.
The most effective offensive orchestrator, particularly in half-court situations, appears to be Alperen Sengun. However, the Rockets have not consistently utilized him in this capacity, which raises questions about their offensive strategy.
Trade Season Opportunities
As trade season approaches, the Rockets find themselves at a crossroads. With the free agent moratorium lifting on December 15th, the team is now empowered to explore trades for players signed this past offseason. This opens up possibilities for Houston to secure a more traditional point guard to help alleviate their turnover issues and enhance overall offensive fluidity.
ESPN’s panel of writers has speculated on the Rockets’ potential moves, particularly in light of Fred VanVleet’s ACL injury in September. His absence left the team to navigate through a point-guard-by-committee strategy, with Thompson, Sheppard, and even Sengun sharing the responsibilities. Despite managing to rank fourth in offensive efficiency during this period, the Rockets still grapple with the league’s second-worst turnover ratio.
Navigating Potential Trades
If the Rockets aim to acquire a standout point guard, it may necessitate moving VanVleet, contingent on the target they have in mind. This would also require VanVleet’s approval, adding another layer of complexity to any potential transaction. The team’s exploration of trade options could be pivotal in refining their offensive approach and addressing their current shortcomings.
As the trade season unfolds, the Rockets have a unique opportunity to reassess their strategies and seek enhancements that could propel them to greater heights in the competitive landscape of the NBA.
