Padres face offseason dilemma with Michael King’s future in question
The San Diego Padres are standing at a pivotal crossroads as they approach one of their most significant offseasons in years. With the 2026 free agency market on the horizon, the Padres have the opportunity to explore creative strategies, yet they also face the reality that several key players in their current pitching rotation—including Dylan Cease and Michael King—may not return.
Assessing the Pitching Landscape
When comparing the two pitchers, it’s difficult to definitively say that King eclipses Cease. The latter has enjoyed a more extended tenure as a starter, providing a wealth of experience. However, King’s recent performances as a full-time starter have shown a remarkable level of skill—one that is difficult to overlook. The challenge lies in the shadow of his injury history, which raises concerns about his long-term reliability and potential market value.
Future Considerations with Mason Miller
Adding another layer to the Padres’ pitching situation is Mason Miller, whose presence has sparked discussions about the future of the rotation. MLB.com’s Thomas Harrigan noted that Miller, with his electric fastball, has already made a significant impact in San Diego’s bullpen. His contract, which extends through 2029, makes him a valuable asset. Speculation surrounds the potential for Miller to transition back into a starting role, particularly given the impending free agency of both Cease and King, along with newly acquired Nestor Cortes.
“How the Friars decide to proceed with Miller could have a major impact on their approach to the starting pitching market this offseason,” Harrigan remarked, indicating that Miller’s future could shape the team’s strategy significantly.
King’s Market Value in Question
As the offseason unfolds, King is likely to find himself in a position to command a respectable contract on the open market. Spotrac projects his value at a four-year deal worth $97.2 million, translating to an average annual value (AAV) of nearly $25 million. For the Padres, this figure could be steep for a pitcher whose health has been uncertain.
Among the top-tier free agents available, King presents a unique case. His elite pitching talent is evident, yet potential suitors must weigh his injury concerns heavily in their evaluations. The Padres may find themselves grappling with the decision of whether King’s potential upside justifies the investment, or if they should pivot towards more reliable options as they navigate this critical offseason.
