High-Stakes Decision for the Cubs on Shota Imanaga
The Chicago Cubs find themselves at a critical juncture this offseason, their gaze fixed firmly on the future of starting pitcher Shota Imanaga. After an eventful year, the Cubs are not only considering their long-term strategy with Imanaga but also keeping a close watch on their right fielder Kyle Tucker, whose own future remains uncertain following a high-profile trade.
Shota Imanaga’s Contract Dilemma
At the center of the Cubs’ offseason narrative is the complexity surrounding Imanaga’s contract. Initially signed to a four-year, $53 million deal upon his arrival from Japan, the Cubs now face a pivotal choice. They hold a club option that would extend Imanaga’s contract to three additional years at $57 million—$20 million in both 2026 and 2027, and $17 million in 2028. Alternatively, if the Cubs opt out, Imanaga has the opportunity to activate a player option worth $15 million for 2026, which could lead to potential extensions for 2027 and 2028.
This intricate web of options leaves the Cubs with significant leverage. However, the most prudent decision for both parties appears to be exercising the club option, thereby securing Imanaga’s talents through his age-34 season. This move would not only provide the Cubs with stability in their starting rotation but would also demonstrate a commitment to a player who has already made a significant impact.
The Case for Stability
For a franchise often seen as cautious with their payroll, committing to Imanaga at a $19 million average annual value (AAV) represents a strategic maneuver. This figure would place him alongside notable pitchers like Chris Sale of the Atlanta Braves, ranking as the 25th highest-paid starter in the league. Given the escalating market for pitching talent, this contract could quickly become a bargain as new players enter free agency in the coming years.
Imanaga’s performance thus far has been commendable, with a 3.28 ERA over 318 innings, 291 strikeouts, and a solid 4.5 bWAR. After earning an All-Star nod in his rookie season and finishing fifth in the National League Cy Young voting in 2024, he has established himself as a formidable presence on the mound. While replicating this level of success in the future is never guaranteed, Imanaga’s consistency is precisely what the Cubs need—especially with concerns about Justin Steele’s durability.
Looking Ahead
Securing Imanaga on a long-term deal at an affordable rate aligns perfectly with the Cubs’ goals of building a competitive roster. As they navigate the complexities of their offseason decisions, locking in a quality starting pitcher is not just a smart move; it’s a necessary step toward ensuring the Cubs remain relevant in the competitive landscape of Major League Baseball. The stakes are high, and how the Cubs approach Imanaga’s situation could define their strategy and success in the seasons to come.
